Published on: 14/02/2024
In an increasingly overcrowded market, the struggle to be the top United States spot Bitcoin exchange-traded fund (ETF) issuer is pushing many smaller firms to the brink. Its a high-stakes contest with analysts warning that some listed ETF issuers will fail to break even and be forced to close. While cutthroat competition and the relentless fee war may spell doom for the smaller fish in the pond, investors are set to reap the benefits of falling charges.
Since its launch, the 10 approved Bitcoin ETFs have pulled in over $10 billion in assets. But this vast sum is mostly concentrated with the industry behemoths, BlackRock and Fidelity, who hold about $4 billion and $3.5 billion AUM respectively. With the dwindling sizes of their share, Hector McNeil - co-CEO and founder of white-label ETF provider HANetf - suggested that many of the current ETFs wont break even due to inadequately scaled assets despite costs working favorably only when they reach a billion units.
This sobering forecast is dreadfully apparent with developments from January. Global X, without providing any explanation, pulled its bid for a Bitcoin ETF. Meanwhile, other contenders like Pando, 7RCC, and Hashdex remain silent on their plans. In this grim scenario, the 10 Bitcoin ETF issuers are slashing their fees to stay attractive, inturn heating up this ongoing fee war. Leading the pack are Invesco and Galaxy, who realigned their ETF charge from 0.39% to 0.25%, matching it with BlackRock, Fidelity, Valkyrie and VanEck.
All this hypercompetition is making it excruciatingly difficult for new ETF issuers to break into the Bitcoin ETF market. Bryan Armour, Morningstar Research’s passive strategies research director, pins the blame on the ongoing “fee wars”. According to Armour, its tough to be profitable quickly with low charges and a late market entry. On the other hand, Henry Jim, Bloomberg ETF analyst, empahsises another possible roadblock - smaller issuers will struggle without the backing of an investor or a deep-pocketed partner.
Interestingly, despite the stiff competition, there might be a silver lining for late entrants. McNeil believes they could still make an impact by coming up with innovative offerings like leveraged, covered call or Ether (ETH) ETFs.
Although this fee war is squeezing the issuers, its good news for investors and ETF buyers. According to McNeil, Jim, and Armour, investors are the biggest winners in this situation as they get access to a relatively hard-to-reach market at lesser costs. Armour also underlines that the market-makers too are capitalizing on the situation, making the most out of the liquidity provided by Bitcoin markets and the ETF shares.
Ultimately, in the long run, its the firms with substantial distribution channels, such as BlackRock and Fidelity, that are likely to emerge victorious from the fee wars. These entities can scale quickly and hence, hold the potential to withstand the punishing competition. Such developments not only inform the progress of the Bitcoin ETF market but hint at its fantastic dynamism that mirrors the notorious volatility of cryptocurrencies themselves.
In conclusion, the recent shake-ups in the Bitcoin ETF market are a timely reminder of the intense competition within this sector. While the battlefield is turning inhospitable for smaller players, the bargaining power heavily favoring the investors is a testament to the impressive growth and maturation of the industry.